Thứ Sáu, Tháng Sáu 2, 2023
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BofA sees stocks rally stalled as profits slide, job market weakens


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(Bloomberg) — The rally in U.S. stocks may be halted as corporate earnings plummet and the labor market weakens, according to Bank of America Corp’s Michael Hartnett.

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The strategist, who correctly warned last year that recession fears would prompt a stock sell-off, said stocks were valuing profits falling “just” 4% and reiterated his call to Call to sell S&P 500 Index above 4,200 points. That’s less than 2% higher than the last close.

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“We continue to be bearish as the economic uncertainty of 2023 ends with a rift in the labor market and an EPS recession,” Hartnett wrote in an April 27 note. The risks of a hard landing on earnings and a “no landing” on interest rates remain high, he added.

After rising 7% in the first quarter, US stocks wobbled in April, with recession fears fueled by controversial Federal Reserve rate hikes with a better start to the year. earnings season. Still, shares rallied on Thursday as solid results from Meta Platforms Inc. underpinning optimism over tech heavyweights.

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According to BofA, citing EPFR Global data, technology stock funds received $1.2 billion in the week to April 26, the biggest since November. Chinese stocks also had largest addition since January 2022, at $6.1 billion.

Other highlights include:

  • Global hedge funds received $23 million in inflows, while $52.3 billion went into cash funds and $7.4 billion added to bonds
  • US stocks were out for the second week in a row at $2.7 billion, while $3 billion left European funds – the seventh straight week of buybacks
  • Stylistically, the US large cap has an inflow of $500 million, while the small cap, growth, and value see the outflow
  • Finance has the second largest inflow of capital after technology; energy and materials are reduced the most

—With support from Michael Msika.



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